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Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Tuesday, April 10, 2012
Top Ten gold mining countries of 2011
China was the biggest
gold producer in 2011, a report by the London based metals research
company CRU states. Chinese production grew to 380 tonnes in 2011, up
11.4% from 341 tonnes in 2010.
Australia produced 4.6% more gold in 2011 and came second with with 272 tonnes of gold output compared to 260 tonnes produced in 2010.
Total global gold output was pegged at 2789 tonnes, a 5.7% increase from 2010 production of 2638 tonnes
Australia produced 4.6% more gold in 2011 and came second with with 272 tonnes of gold output compared to 260 tonnes produced in 2010.
Total global gold output was pegged at 2789 tonnes, a 5.7% increase from 2010 production of 2638 tonnes
CRU's Top Ten gold mining countries of 2011
Friday, April 6, 2012
Gold at $2175/oz : Morgan Stanley forecasts
NEW YORK : Morgan Stanley expects
gold prices to remain bullish for 2012 but sees risk to oil prices. The
bank forecasts gold prices to average $1845/oz in 2012 while oil prices
are expected to average $105/barrel
On oil, even though the bank expects prices to average $105/barrel in 2012, current high prices are likely to slow demand and support more production by OPEC causing "bearish inventory trends". In a bear case scenario, oil prices could fall to as low as $85/barrel
On gold, the bank states that “…Recent coordinated actions by six central banks and separate actions by the ECB suggest that non-gold related measures to ease access to USD swaps will be successful, reducing downside pressure on the gold price”
The bank expects gold prices to climb to $2175/oz by 2013 with prices depending on 4 bullish factors - decline in producer hedging, decline of developed market central bank sales, inability of gold mines to increase gold supplies materially and the long term growth in physical investment demand.
On oil, even though the bank expects prices to average $105/barrel in 2012, current high prices are likely to slow demand and support more production by OPEC causing "bearish inventory trends". In a bear case scenario, oil prices could fall to as low as $85/barrel
On gold, the bank states that “…Recent coordinated actions by six central banks and separate actions by the ECB suggest that non-gold related measures to ease access to USD swaps will be successful, reducing downside pressure on the gold price”
The bank expects gold prices to climb to $2175/oz by 2013 with prices depending on 4 bullish factors - decline in producer hedging, decline of developed market central bank sales, inability of gold mines to increase gold supplies materially and the long term growth in physical investment demand.
Thursday, April 5, 2012
Silver : Superb choice for investors
FLORIDA: Silver will be the
emergent king for precious metals investing in 2012 as a manufacturing
boom will push its price upwards to $150 per ounce by the end of year,
predicts Stephen M Smith, Managing Member of Smith McKenna, LLC.
Smith points out that in today's economy it is crucial to diversify investment portfolio, and commodities like silver is a superb choice.
According to Smith, who has over 20 years of experience in precious metal commodities and nobly boasts the lowest spreads in the commodities investing market, emerging dynamics are already spurring silver to experience its best quarter in a year's time.
He says,”The dynamics of Silver clearly dictate that it is undervalued many times over and holds the key to tomorrow’s new technologies.”
Also, he adds,”Without the Japanese tsunami, then a Greek crisis, a U.S. budget fight, and finally - the flooding in Bangkok; the global manufacturing data would have skyrocketed and sent Silver to the prices now enjoyed by less used metals like gold, palladium, and platinum.”
Smith notes that a lot of the hype behind precious metals investing in today’s market rests with gold, but silver should not be ignored and could now emerge the leader of the market. Silver is on par to experience its best quarter in a year’s time, something that is reinforcing that very notion.
Silver has reached a high so far of $33.13 per ounce and a low of $32.95 per ounce
Smith points out that in today's economy it is crucial to diversify investment portfolio, and commodities like silver is a superb choice.
According to Smith, who has over 20 years of experience in precious metal commodities and nobly boasts the lowest spreads in the commodities investing market, emerging dynamics are already spurring silver to experience its best quarter in a year's time.
He says,”The dynamics of Silver clearly dictate that it is undervalued many times over and holds the key to tomorrow’s new technologies.”
Also, he adds,”Without the Japanese tsunami, then a Greek crisis, a U.S. budget fight, and finally - the flooding in Bangkok; the global manufacturing data would have skyrocketed and sent Silver to the prices now enjoyed by less used metals like gold, palladium, and platinum.”
Smith notes that a lot of the hype behind precious metals investing in today’s market rests with gold, but silver should not be ignored and could now emerge the leader of the market. Silver is on par to experience its best quarter in a year’s time, something that is reinforcing that very notion.
Silver has reached a high so far of $33.13 per ounce and a low of $32.95 per ounce
Sunday, February 26, 2012
Thursday, January 26, 2012
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Silver to $49.73 in April
I believe the short squeeze that took Silver to $49.73 in April has taught the commercials how tight the physical silver market actually is, and that the commercials "appear to have no interest in massively shorting silver again". As a result, I look for silver
to make massive gains in the near futures, as the commercials turn and
go net long, resulting in $50 silver appearing "cheap" in the near
future.
The big commercial silver shorts had a near death experience when the price approached $50 in April. They were at the end of their rope and needed to do something in a hurry. That’s why they rigged prices lower; so that they could buy and save themselves. These well-connected commercials knew, perhaps for the very first time, just how tight the silver market had become and how close we were to a profound physical shortage. The key is that the silver shortage wasn’t caused by excessive speculative buying or a bubble or a mania. The extreme tightness and near shortage in silver was as a result of the gradual and cumulative impact of normal investment buying over the past five years. There is nothing to suggest that the long term and steady silver investment buying has ended.
Because there was no bubble or mania in silver, there was no bubble to burst. The orchestrated take-downs of the price by the big commercial interests were simply so that these commercials could buy and rid themselves of Silver short positions. That’s done now. That means that the silver market is now in the best possible shape.
What lies ahead for silver is exciting. While we have not witnessed a bubble in silver yet, we will some day. The silver story and the dynamics of the market are too compelling for an investment mania not to emerge at some point. If anything, speculative sentiment has been completely wrung out from silver, clearing the way for speculators and investors to enter the market with a vengeance.
At some point, enough of the world’s industrial silver users will panic as prices climb and attempt to build physical silver inventories. This user buying, something that never kicked in during the run to $50 will create a silver shortage, the likes of which never witnessed before. It seems that the big commercial interests have come to learn the real silver story and they appear to want no part of the short side again. The major pressure of selling has passed...and the way seems clear for higher prices. By the time the next chapter in the silver story plays out, $50 could look cheap. (By Ted Butler)
The big commercial silver shorts had a near death experience when the price approached $50 in April. They were at the end of their rope and needed to do something in a hurry. That’s why they rigged prices lower; so that they could buy and save themselves. These well-connected commercials knew, perhaps for the very first time, just how tight the silver market had become and how close we were to a profound physical shortage. The key is that the silver shortage wasn’t caused by excessive speculative buying or a bubble or a mania. The extreme tightness and near shortage in silver was as a result of the gradual and cumulative impact of normal investment buying over the past five years. There is nothing to suggest that the long term and steady silver investment buying has ended.
Because there was no bubble or mania in silver, there was no bubble to burst. The orchestrated take-downs of the price by the big commercial interests were simply so that these commercials could buy and rid themselves of Silver short positions. That’s done now. That means that the silver market is now in the best possible shape.
What lies ahead for silver is exciting. While we have not witnessed a bubble in silver yet, we will some day. The silver story and the dynamics of the market are too compelling for an investment mania not to emerge at some point. If anything, speculative sentiment has been completely wrung out from silver, clearing the way for speculators and investors to enter the market with a vengeance.
At some point, enough of the world’s industrial silver users will panic as prices climb and attempt to build physical silver inventories. This user buying, something that never kicked in during the run to $50 will create a silver shortage, the likes of which never witnessed before. It seems that the big commercial interests have come to learn the real silver story and they appear to want no part of the short side again. The major pressure of selling has passed...and the way seems clear for higher prices. By the time the next chapter in the silver story plays out, $50 could look cheap. (By Ted Butler)
Monday, December 19, 2011
Twelve bullish factors for gold in 2012
Jeff
Nichols still believes that gold prices will go above $2000/oz in 2012.
He forecasts $2000 levels in the first half of 2012 and in the longer
term, the yellow metal is expected to ride higher to $3000, $4000,
$5000. Because of the following twelve factors, he still believes in a
yellow metal rally in 2012.
Twelve bullish factors for gold in 2012
--Past and prospective U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy, characterized by low or negative real rates of interest and unprecedented central bank monetary creation.
--The U.S. federal government budget impasse, rising U.S. sovereign debt, and eroding U.S. creditworthiness.
--The expected future depreciation of the U.S. dollar in world currency markets . . . and the continuing decline in the dollar’s purchasing power for American consumers.
--The growing insolvency of some European nations - leading to the disintegration of Europe’s Monetary Union and the eventual abandonment of Europe’s common currency, the euro, by at least some of the EU member countries.
--The expected acceleration of global inflation - fueled by excessive monetary creation, world population growth, and changing diets in favor of more meat and protein . . . and led by persistently high and rising agricultural and industrial commodity prices from one country to the next.
--The increasing political instability in the Middle East and North Africa . . . as authoritarian regimes are overthrown . . . but sectarian divisions in some countries prevent orderly transitions to democracy . . . with implications for world oil supplies and prices. And then, of course, there is Iran - which remains an unpredictable “wild card.”
--The growing affluence of the “emerging-economy nations” and the associated growth in both jewelry and private investment and savings demand for gold - especially here in China - as well as India and other gold-friendly countries.
--The development and popularity of new Gold investment vehicles and channels of distribution - especially gold exchange-traded funds - that facilitate physical gold investment by both retail and institutional investors.
--The legitimization of gold as an investment class and rising investor participation . . . together reflecting a growing appreciation of the benefits of including physical gold in a well-diversified portfolio . . . and the entry of new, large-scale, professional investors - including pensions, endowments, insurance companies, sovereign-wealth funds, and especially hedge funds.
--The “stickiness” of much of the recent private sector and central bank gold demand. This is shrinking the available “free float” in the world gold market . . . and it means that less metal will be available to gold-hungry buyers, except at increasingly higher prices. Indeed, many of today’s new investors have no intention of ever selling, even at much higher prices.
--- Eleventh bullish factor, one that I believe is especially important to the long-term development of the gold market - is the affect this rising wealth is having on emerging-economy central banks . . . prompting some countries that are over-weighted in U.S. dollars and underweighted in gold to diversify their official reserves through the prudent acquisition of the yellow metal.
--And, twelfth in my catalog of bullish factors supporting a continuing long-term rise in the price of gold is the fact that world gold-mine production, although growing, will not keep pace with the expected growth in global gold demand. Even a rash of new mine discoveries would take five to 10 years - or more - to contribute significantly to supply . . . and, meanwhile, existing resources are being depleted, nationalized by unfriendly governments who tend not to be good mine operators, or are simply mined out.
Twelve bullish factors for gold in 2012
--Past and prospective U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy, characterized by low or negative real rates of interest and unprecedented central bank monetary creation.
--The U.S. federal government budget impasse, rising U.S. sovereign debt, and eroding U.S. creditworthiness.
--The expected future depreciation of the U.S. dollar in world currency markets . . . and the continuing decline in the dollar’s purchasing power for American consumers.
--The growing insolvency of some European nations - leading to the disintegration of Europe’s Monetary Union and the eventual abandonment of Europe’s common currency, the euro, by at least some of the EU member countries.
--The expected acceleration of global inflation - fueled by excessive monetary creation, world population growth, and changing diets in favor of more meat and protein . . . and led by persistently high and rising agricultural and industrial commodity prices from one country to the next.
--The increasing political instability in the Middle East and North Africa . . . as authoritarian regimes are overthrown . . . but sectarian divisions in some countries prevent orderly transitions to democracy . . . with implications for world oil supplies and prices. And then, of course, there is Iran - which remains an unpredictable “wild card.”
--The growing affluence of the “emerging-economy nations” and the associated growth in both jewelry and private investment and savings demand for gold - especially here in China - as well as India and other gold-friendly countries.
--The development and popularity of new Gold investment vehicles and channels of distribution - especially gold exchange-traded funds - that facilitate physical gold investment by both retail and institutional investors.
--The legitimization of gold as an investment class and rising investor participation . . . together reflecting a growing appreciation of the benefits of including physical gold in a well-diversified portfolio . . . and the entry of new, large-scale, professional investors - including pensions, endowments, insurance companies, sovereign-wealth funds, and especially hedge funds.
--The “stickiness” of much of the recent private sector and central bank gold demand. This is shrinking the available “free float” in the world gold market . . . and it means that less metal will be available to gold-hungry buyers, except at increasingly higher prices. Indeed, many of today’s new investors have no intention of ever selling, even at much higher prices.
--- Eleventh bullish factor, one that I believe is especially important to the long-term development of the gold market - is the affect this rising wealth is having on emerging-economy central banks . . . prompting some countries that are over-weighted in U.S. dollars and underweighted in gold to diversify their official reserves through the prudent acquisition of the yellow metal.
--And, twelfth in my catalog of bullish factors supporting a continuing long-term rise in the price of gold is the fact that world gold-mine production, although growing, will not keep pace with the expected growth in global gold demand. Even a rash of new mine discoveries would take five to 10 years - or more - to contribute significantly to supply . . . and, meanwhile, existing resources are being depleted, nationalized by unfriendly governments who tend not to be good mine operators, or are simply mined out.
Sunday, December 18, 2011
Silver investment will certainly pay off
The Silver
market is not trending as expected but surely it's not in the doldrums
either. The silver prices are hovering around a rather steep range of
$32-36 a ounce to $50 a ounce. But according to experts, the demand for
silver will continue to grow as industries ask for added ounce of the
metal for medicinal and industrial usage.
Experts estimate that more than half of the demand for silver comes from industries who love the metal for its unique qualities as a good conductor of electricity, good transfer agent, a good reflector of light and also a brilliant lubricant and flexible catalyst and alloy. The traditional silver market is not going great guns but yet the industrial demand is keeping the silver usage market firmly grounded.
Industrial uses
One of the major requests for silver comes from the solar industry where its use in solar panels is seeing an expansive growth. With the Japanese nuclear disaster still afresh in everybody's minds, people are realizing the scope and environmental safety renewable energy sources offer. The future of silver demand in the solar market reflect in the figures itself which has increased from 2 million ounces to about 50 million ounces in 2010.
In fact this year the demand is expect to reach the pinnacle of 70 million ounces, a 40% increase. This is because China and India are planning to expand their solar industry to 20 gigawatts and 30 gigawatts respective by 2020. The US plans to tread the same path as China as it charts to expand solar capacity to 30 gigawatts by 2020. Experts feel solar usage could reach 130 million ounces per year around 2014 and continue through 2020. In 2010, production of Silver was 750 million ounces.
Medicinal uses
The medicinal uses of silver will never end to exist as silver based bandages, artificial pacemakers, anti-bacterial and anti-microbial clothing all are dependent on the precious metal. It's also used in sportswear to lessen body odour, in food packaging and in cloth of medical faculty.
To conclude, it is interesting to note the silver price volatility as it fluctuates depending on the global developments. The silver spot price chart is the key to the theory of one world economy where every country's economy is affected by another's and is interlinked. Currently the prices on silver are surging as debt concerns in the US and Europe keeps the worries tab up ~Kyles Humphreys~
Experts estimate that more than half of the demand for silver comes from industries who love the metal for its unique qualities as a good conductor of electricity, good transfer agent, a good reflector of light and also a brilliant lubricant and flexible catalyst and alloy. The traditional silver market is not going great guns but yet the industrial demand is keeping the silver usage market firmly grounded.
Industrial uses
One of the major requests for silver comes from the solar industry where its use in solar panels is seeing an expansive growth. With the Japanese nuclear disaster still afresh in everybody's minds, people are realizing the scope and environmental safety renewable energy sources offer. The future of silver demand in the solar market reflect in the figures itself which has increased from 2 million ounces to about 50 million ounces in 2010.
In fact this year the demand is expect to reach the pinnacle of 70 million ounces, a 40% increase. This is because China and India are planning to expand their solar industry to 20 gigawatts and 30 gigawatts respective by 2020. The US plans to tread the same path as China as it charts to expand solar capacity to 30 gigawatts by 2020. Experts feel solar usage could reach 130 million ounces per year around 2014 and continue through 2020. In 2010, production of Silver was 750 million ounces.
Medicinal uses
The medicinal uses of silver will never end to exist as silver based bandages, artificial pacemakers, anti-bacterial and anti-microbial clothing all are dependent on the precious metal. It's also used in sportswear to lessen body odour, in food packaging and in cloth of medical faculty.
To conclude, it is interesting to note the silver price volatility as it fluctuates depending on the global developments. The silver spot price chart is the key to the theory of one world economy where every country's economy is affected by another's and is interlinked. Currently the prices on silver are surging as debt concerns in the US and Europe keeps the worries tab up ~Kyles Humphreys~
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Forecast For 2012
 |
| Restock !! |
According to bank, liquidation in Comex Gold over the past couple of months appears to be drawing to a close, although currency trends could trigger yet another round of speculative liquidation. Overall, gold has outperformed other precious metals in recent months.
Looking ahead, Deutsche Bank wrote: “We expect the conditions that have driven gold returns higher over the past 11 years will persist into 2012, namely negative real interest rates, a high U.S. equity risk premium and central-bank buying.”
The bank is forecasting $1,750 gold in the first quarter of 2012, $1,850 in the second quarter, then $2,000 in the third and fourth quarters. For silver, Deutsche Bank is forecasting $37 in the first quarter, $39 in the second and $44 in the third and fourth quarters.
Sunday, November 27, 2011
Think about silver before investing
When I first discovered why I should buy Silver
and protect myself from the coming devaluation of our currencies, it
still took me a few months to act because there is a lot of
misinformation surrounding this precious metal. This article will help
those that are still unsure about buying silver by laying out the facts
about what has been dubbed as perhaps the greatest investment
opportunity of our lifetime.
If you are paying attention you will have noticed that Gold has been increasing steadily in value since the beginning of the last decade. This trend is set to continue throughout this decade as smart investors realize that gold is a protection against inflation and the destruction of the purchasing power of all currencies.
If gold is set to rise, then shouldn't you be buying it? Perhaps, but many people believe that silver is a far better profit opportunity due to some astonishing fundamental reasons.
(1) The Gold-Silver ratio: Throughout history the ratio between gold and silver has been in the range of 12:1 to 16:1. What this means is that for every ounce of gold you would be able to exchange it for 12 to 16 ounces of silver. This was generally the case because there is approximately 12 to 16 times more silver in the earth's crust than there is gold.
Although this ratio has remained quite constant, the current ratio is 50:1. With one ounce of gold you can currently buy a whopping 50 ounces of silver. What this means is that silver is currently extremely undervalued compared to gold. As gold gains in value over this coming decade, silver will gain even more as the ratio of Silver to Gold reverts to the mean. This provides a massive profit potential for those that are informed. Here is a good resource to learn more about this ratio -Silver to Gold Ratio.
(2) Above ground supply: In 1950 there was 10 billion available above ground ounces of silver. By 1980 that number shrank to 3.5 billion ounces. Now in 2011 it is estimated that above ground supply has dropped to approximately 500 million to 700 million ounces.
The reason that the supply of silver is shrinking is because it has become the second most used commodity in our society. Currently there are around 10,000 applications for silver including but not limited to; electronics, photography, jewelry, mirrors, and solar panels. The only commodity with more applications is oil which currently has about 30,000 applications.
(3) Non-recyclable: Silver is used in 10,000 applications but almost all of these applications use microscopic amounts of silver. For example most computers use approximately 1/10th of an ounce of silver. At $30 per ounce that silver has a value of $3 and is thus not economically viable to retrieve. As a result most silver is not-recycled and is lost to landfills forever. This only places more pressure on the supply side.
In conclusion, most people are putting their cash into this precious metal because of the coming inflation but there are many other reasons for investing in silver such as the reasons listed above. As with any investment there are risks that you should consider, so do your homework, and good luck! ~Conor Hughes~
If you are paying attention you will have noticed that Gold has been increasing steadily in value since the beginning of the last decade. This trend is set to continue throughout this decade as smart investors realize that gold is a protection against inflation and the destruction of the purchasing power of all currencies.
If gold is set to rise, then shouldn't you be buying it? Perhaps, but many people believe that silver is a far better profit opportunity due to some astonishing fundamental reasons.
(1) The Gold-Silver ratio: Throughout history the ratio between gold and silver has been in the range of 12:1 to 16:1. What this means is that for every ounce of gold you would be able to exchange it for 12 to 16 ounces of silver. This was generally the case because there is approximately 12 to 16 times more silver in the earth's crust than there is gold.
Although this ratio has remained quite constant, the current ratio is 50:1. With one ounce of gold you can currently buy a whopping 50 ounces of silver. What this means is that silver is currently extremely undervalued compared to gold. As gold gains in value over this coming decade, silver will gain even more as the ratio of Silver to Gold reverts to the mean. This provides a massive profit potential for those that are informed. Here is a good resource to learn more about this ratio -Silver to Gold Ratio.
(2) Above ground supply: In 1950 there was 10 billion available above ground ounces of silver. By 1980 that number shrank to 3.5 billion ounces. Now in 2011 it is estimated that above ground supply has dropped to approximately 500 million to 700 million ounces.
The reason that the supply of silver is shrinking is because it has become the second most used commodity in our society. Currently there are around 10,000 applications for silver including but not limited to; electronics, photography, jewelry, mirrors, and solar panels. The only commodity with more applications is oil which currently has about 30,000 applications.
(3) Non-recyclable: Silver is used in 10,000 applications but almost all of these applications use microscopic amounts of silver. For example most computers use approximately 1/10th of an ounce of silver. At $30 per ounce that silver has a value of $3 and is thus not economically viable to retrieve. As a result most silver is not-recycled and is lost to landfills forever. This only places more pressure on the supply side.
In conclusion, most people are putting their cash into this precious metal because of the coming inflation but there are many other reasons for investing in silver such as the reasons listed above. As with any investment there are risks that you should consider, so do your homework, and good luck! ~Conor Hughes~
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Owning silver means you profit whether the economy tanks or not
NEW YORK (Commodity Online): Buying Silver
is a no brainer as far Jim Rogers is concerned. And why not?
Considering that governments are printing money, silver will prove to be
a very good bet.
In a recent CNBC interview, Rogers says - “Throughout history, when things have gone wrong, they print money…when they print money, you should own silver, you should own rice, you should own real assets. Gold could go down a fair bit more…but I’m certainly going to buy more gold if it goes down and silver.”
“I’m long commodities and currencies, because if the world gets better, the shortages in commodities will make sure I make money. If the world economy doesn’t get better, I’d rather own commodities because they’re [central banks] going to print money.” he added.
Bottom line – you profit in both ways whether the economy slips into recession or the economy rebounds and grows
He noted that the MF Global fiasco has created a temporary forced selling in the markets and this will provide an opportunity for buyers to accumulate more silver.
Though he remained uncertain as to the magnitude by which Gold and Silver will fall, he however remarked that he will be ready with his chequebook if silver and gold fall further.
Stephen Leeb, the noted American economist, had earlier said that he expected silver to hit at least $100/oz
In a recent CNBC interview, Rogers says - “Throughout history, when things have gone wrong, they print money…when they print money, you should own silver, you should own rice, you should own real assets. Gold could go down a fair bit more…but I’m certainly going to buy more gold if it goes down and silver.”
“I’m long commodities and currencies, because if the world gets better, the shortages in commodities will make sure I make money. If the world economy doesn’t get better, I’d rather own commodities because they’re [central banks] going to print money.” he added.
Bottom line – you profit in both ways whether the economy slips into recession or the economy rebounds and grows
He noted that the MF Global fiasco has created a temporary forced selling in the markets and this will provide an opportunity for buyers to accumulate more silver.
Though he remained uncertain as to the magnitude by which Gold and Silver will fall, he however remarked that he will be ready with his chequebook if silver and gold fall further.
Stephen Leeb, the noted American economist, had earlier said that he expected silver to hit at least $100/oz
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Halaqah TV9 : Dinar Emas
Walaupun video ini agak panjang durasinya namun, ia amat berbaloi untuk ditonton jika berbandingkan dengan nilai ilmu yang akan disampaikan. Semoga ilmu yang dikongsikan akan bermanfaat.
Alhamdulillah...saban hari semakin ramai masyarakat kita yang mulai sedar kepentingan Emas & Perak sebagai medium untuk bermuamalat dan penyimpan nilai kekayaan sebenarnya.
Sudah terlalu lama kita dimomokkan oleh permainan Yahudi yang memanipulasikan angka-angka nilai fiat (duit kertas) di pasaran saham mahupun di bank-bank seantero dunia (dimana kita kononnya menyimpan wang fiat kita sebagai asset masa hadapan). Sedar atau tidak, inflasi terus menekan nilai wang fiat menjadikannya semakin kecil dan lambat laun tidak bernilai dek sifat tamak manusia yang kononnya menggelar diri sebagai kuasa ekonomi dunia.
Namun, dunia kian berubah..segala yang haq pasti akan terungkap jua akhirnya. Emas & Perak (atau lebih dikenali sebagai The God money) terus menjadi buruan bagi mereka-mereka yang mempunyai ILMU kerana "intrinsic value" yang ada pada kedua-dua logam ini dan nilainya yang hampir stabil sepanjang zaman. Emas & Perak sesuai dijadikan sebagai simpanan(asset yang bernilai) atau sebagai medium untuk bermuaamalat.
Semoga lebih banyak pendedahan dan pendidikan dalam media massa arus perdana tentang ilmu ekonomi Islam dapat dikupas dengan harapan dapat membuka mata lebih ramai insan-insan yang masih ragu-ragu diluar sana untuk mempersiapkan diri menghadapi kegawatan ekonomi yang bakal melanda dunia tidak lama lagi. Tidak dilupa juga menjadi tugas kita, untuk sama-sama menyampaikan ilmu yang kita miliki agar dapat kita setidak-tidaknya menyelamatkan ekonomi diri,keluarga dan ummah.
Saturday, November 19, 2011
Print or Die
NEW YORK : Someone's going to print a boatload of money—and soon. And when that happens, assets like Gold and oil will rise in price. This is not a guess. It is a fact. We are already seeing the wise guys and speculators get their early bets in.
They will do it in Europe with some kind of ultra massive TARP program. The French and Germans have already knocked on every door, looking to borrow the specie they need to keep an entire continent solvent. It just ain't happening. (Heck, the Chinese laughed in their faces and told them to work harder..hehe..)
That's why European bond prices are spiking. No one in their right mind wants to lend to these guys when a 50% haircut—at best!—is lurking right around the corner.
Seriously, entire governments are falling here. They're not just on the fringe anymore. And the central bankers who are replacing various heads of states are left with only one last trick: printing trillions of new euros.
This will, of course, dramatically reduce the value of the euro. That's one of the points of the whole devilish exercise (the other being to print the very cash required to pay these bills).
You borrow a euro that's worth $X. You pay back a euro that's worth $3/4X. And your creditor puts up with it so as to avoid a complete default that would net him pennies on the euro.
We're Going to Do It, Too
Now, don't go getting all chest-thumping proud and jingoistic about all this. Because we are going to do it here, too.
According to the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, the European fiasco now has better than even odds of tanking the U.S. economy in the first six months of 2012.
“A European sovereign debt default may well sink the United States back into recession. However, if we navigate the storm through the second half of 2012, it appears that danger will recede rapidly in 2013.”
And by "navigate," the bank only means one thing: "Invent enormous wads of new currency out of thin air."
Print or Die
Forget about terms like QE1 or QE2 or QE3. Dollar creation is now a permanent part of Washington policy.
The Fed has already declared that it will continue "lending" dollars to American banks at 0% and buying up every bond the treasury sees fit to print for the foreseeable future.
And that was back when they were only fighting "slow growth."Now they are "navigating an odds-on recession" slated to hit just as voters are deciding whether or not this government will fall.
What's more, when the Europeans start printing, it will force the euro down against the dollar—allowing them to export more easily into American markets and making it that much harder for us to sell goods into theirs.
It is an absolute lock that we will strike back with our own printing presses.
Once again, the politicians have no choice: It's either print away the awesome burden of our debts (and each and every Nickel you save or earn), or face political Armageddon.
The Wise Guys Are Already on Board. Dollar down, Gold and oil up. Period.
Source: theaureport
Wednesday, November 9, 2011
Gold Investing News
That was John Embry, Sprott Asset Management’s chief investment strategist, speaking to Mineweb’s Geoff Candy in August of 2010.
The price of gold was regaining the $1,200 level it had first breached in November of 2009 and the market was abuzz with bullish fever over expectations of further quantitative easing measures by the US Fed. News that China was seeking to expand its gold market also added to the excitement. The People’s Bank of China had announced it would allow more commercial banks to import and export gold as well as participate in trading at the Shanghai Gold Exchange.
Embry based his price forecast on a lack of optimism for a “sustainable economic recovery in the western world” and the belief that governments would continue to resort to “throwing so much money at this, it’s going to make your head spin.”
According to a poll Gold Investing News conducted following Embry’s prediction, our readers were just as bullish if not more so. Over 35 percent of the 373 respondents felt Embry was “spot on!” while another nearly 35 percent said gold would reach much higher than $2,000 an ounce.
Although at the time Embry’s forecast for gold near the $2,000 level in 2012 seemed a bit optimistic to some analysts, he may have even undershot the mark. Just over a year later, the price of gold reached a record $1,923 an ounce — before falling back below $1,800 last week. Although the yellow metal is struggling to maintain that level for now, many analysts believe gold could soon reach $2,000 an ounce and move even higher in 2012.
Major institution’s 2012 gold price predictions
Many of the world’s major financial institutions are now calling for the price of gold to reach $2,000 an ounce and higher in 2012.
Barclays Capital
“We expect prices to average $1,875 per ounce in the fourth quarter 2011 and $2,000 per ounce on an annual average basis in 2012 as the macro insecurity persists, investor appetite remains positive and central banks are set to remain net buyers while the physical market continues to provide support at increasingly higher levels,” said Barclays Capital analyst, Suki Cooper.
Citigroup
If sovereign debt woes explode, gold may “briefly spike” to between $2,000 and $2,500 an ounce over the next year, remaining above an average $1,200 in the long-term, said Citigroup Inc.
Commerzbank
“I believe gold will still be a very heavily demanded safe-haven trade,” says Axel Rudolph, Commerzbank technical strategist, who believes gold may reach $2,000 in October on “another crisis.”
GFMS
According to the most recent Thomson Reuters GFMS Gold Survey 2011 update, gold could “easily” reach above $2,000 an ounce by the end of this year on continuing sovereign debt concerns and volatility in the currency markets. “We expect a major increase in world investment in the second half of this year.”
HSBC
HSBC is forecasting a gold price of $2,025 an ounce for 2012 and $1,850 an ounce for 2013. “We believe gold’s 10-year bull market remains firmly intact, despite high volatility, with prices up 29 percent already this year,” said the global banking and financial services company. “The euro zone debt crisis, currency wars, and deep uncertainty among investors are among the factors driving prices higher.”
Morgan Stanley
According to Morgan Stanley analysts, gold has about an 85 percent chance of trading between $1,819 an ounce and $2,085 an ounce in 2012.
Societe Generale
“We expect investor momentum to take gold through $2,000 an ounce before the end of 2011,” says Societe Generale. The bank sees the price of gold reaching $2,275 an ounce in 2012. “The gold market is underpinned by the ‘grass roots’ demand and this appears to be remarkably resilient.”
TD Securities
TD Securities expects gold “to hit highs of well above $2,000/oz. in the coming months on lower bond yields, expectations of poor risky assets returns and general risk aversion owing to uncertain global economic conditions.” Its gold forecast puts the yellow metal at $1,975 in 2012 and $1,750 in 2013.
UBS
“Our expectations for gold in 2012 and beyond are governed to a large extent by our expectations for US interest rates and the health of the global economy,” said UBS, which has pinned its 2012 average gold price at $2,075 an ounce with a forecast of $1,725 for 2013.
Embry’s updated 2012 forecast
What’s Embry’s latest gold forecast?
“You never want a date and price in the same sentence — but I’m getting old and it doesn’t bother me anymore. I’d be real disappointed if gold wasn’t in excess of $2500 in the next 12 months,” said Sprott’s chief investment strategist in yet another interview with Mineweb’s Geoff Candy last month.
Embry poignantly summed up his take on what’s fueling the upward trend in gold prices while speaking with Business Television last week: “Everyone wonders where gold’s going and where silver‘s going, I prefer to look at where are currencies going? Today we’re in the later stages of yet another failed experiment in fiat papered currencies and they’re losing value at an alarming rate and as a result gold is rising in value denominated in these failing currencies,” explained Embry.
“That is the significance. It isn’t that gold is in a bubble
because it’s up in price, it’s the fact that the currencies are falling in value almost every day.”
Seeing that Embry was “spot on!” with the 2012 gold price forecast he dished in 2010, it’s not hard to fathom that the investment guru may just be proven right again in the coming months.
Sunday, October 23, 2011
Friday, October 14, 2011
Gold a bubble?! What a joke
Gold prices crashed 20% and the “gold doomsdayers” were going head
over heels at having “predicted” it. The next few years may well prove
them absolutely wrong.
First of all you need to have a clear picture of what the nature of the Gold trend has been over the past decade, evaluate its “crashes”, understand the current economic climate and then look for yourself. And then you may see an opportunity when others see risk.
What one needs to understand is why these two gold crashes occurred?
It happened simply because of investors de-leveraging their positions in order to meet their liquidity requirements. As simple as that.
Nothing fundamentally has changed
Gold outflows during the 2011 crash was minimal in those who hold physical positions. It was the futures market, trading on margins, that de-leveraged positions and further compounded by margin hikes.
Gold outflows in physically-backed Gold ETP's just registered a nominal $100 million in September when the prices crashed. At the end of September, holdings of physically backed - ETP's remained at around $120 billion!
In comparison, the speculative futures positions in COMEX gold has almost halved from the 2011 peak hysteria.
So what does this indicate? Gold is not dead. It is just sick. The price fall shook out the “hot money” from gold but those holding physical gold remain unshaken. (commodityOL)
First of all you need to have a clear picture of what the nature of the Gold trend has been over the past decade, evaluate its “crashes”, understand the current economic climate and then look for yourself. And then you may see an opportunity when others see risk.
- Gold prices peaked to $1030 in March 2008, from whence it slumped to $685 in October, a decline of 33%
- In September 2011, gold prices once again peaked at $1920, and then crashed to $1530, a decline of 20%
What one needs to understand is why these two gold crashes occurred?
It happened simply because of investors de-leveraging their positions in order to meet their liquidity requirements. As simple as that.
Nothing fundamentally has changed
- The US is still weak, struggling and reeling under high unemployment and a stagnant economy.
- The Euro zone debt crisis is not going to end in a month or two. It is here to stay.
- Global money supply in increasing by 8%-9% annually and fears of currencies depreciating will continue. And the national debts are piling up, be it the US, Europe or Japan
Gold outflows during the 2011 crash was minimal in those who hold physical positions. It was the futures market, trading on margins, that de-leveraged positions and further compounded by margin hikes.
Gold outflows in physically-backed Gold ETP's just registered a nominal $100 million in September when the prices crashed. At the end of September, holdings of physically backed - ETP's remained at around $120 billion!
In comparison, the speculative futures positions in COMEX gold has almost halved from the 2011 peak hysteria.
So what does this indicate? Gold is not dead. It is just sick. The price fall shook out the “hot money” from gold but those holding physical gold remain unshaken. (commodityOL)
Wednesday, October 12, 2011
Sunday, October 9, 2011
Urgent Notice!!
Announcement
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